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June '09

O.N.S. Change

The Office for National Statistics has changed the way it measures retail sales. The previous system was regularly criticised. With the new method, known as ‘chain-linking’, the estimates of sales values will be revised downwards.

Overall the volume of retail sales in April 2009 was 0.7% higher than a year ago. This is the smallest increase since 1996. The statistics now available suggest first quarter growth of just 0.3%. The monthly figure masks large differences between sectors of the retail market.

Predominately food stores’ sales volume increased by 1.5%. While the largest increase was in textile, clothing and footwear stores which saw a rise of 11.9%.

Household goods, a sector that’s had a particularly torrid time of late, continued to suffer declining sales, with a drop of 7.9% on the previous year.

Non-specialised stores, such as department stores, reported surprisingly strong growth at 2.4%, the highest level since June 2008. This made them the strongest sector after textile, clothing and footwear stores.

In short, news from the dismal science just got a bit more accurate, but no less dismal.

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